HORMUZ TRAFFIC RECOVERY SEEN AS SLOW Despite easing oil prices after a U.S.-Iran interim deal, Kalshi traders don’t expect a quick return t…
HORMUZ TRAFFIC RECOVERY SEEN AS SLOW
Despite easing oil prices after a U.S.-Iran interim deal, Kalshi traders don’t expect a quick return to normal traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. They assign only a 59% chance of normalization by August and ~67% by September, rising to 82% by year-end. Markets cite logistical delays including mines, congestion, and insurance disruptions.
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