HORMUZ TRAFFIC RECOVERY SEEN AS SLOW Despite easing oil prices after a U.S.-Iran interim deal, Kalshi traders don’t expect a quick return t…
HORMUZ TRAFFIC RECOVERY SEEN AS SLOW
Despite easing oil prices after a U.S.-Iran interim deal, Kalshi traders don’t expect a quick return to normal traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. They assign only a 59% chance of normalization by August and ~67% by September, rising to 82% by year-end. Markets cite logistical delays including mines, congestion, and insurance disruptions.
More from Walter Bloomberg
- Mon, 15 Jun 2026 15:45:46 GMT- SENIOR U.S. OFFICIAL ON IRAN DEAL: DETAILS OF AGREEMENT WILL BE PUT OUT WITHIN NEXT 24-48 HOURS
- Mon, 15 Jun 2026 15:38:45 GMTSENIOR U.S. OFFICIAL: DEAL PROVIDES FOR IMMEDIATE OPENING OF STRAIT OF HORMUZ AND LIFTING OF U.S. BLOCKADE ON IRAN
- Mon, 15 Jun 2026 15:37:45 GMTSENIOR U.S. OFFICIAL: U.S. HAS SIGNED MOU WITH IRAN
- Mon, 15 Jun 2026 15:33:45 GMTIRAN'S FOREIGN MINISTER: THE FIRST ROUND OF NEGOTIATIONS WOULD BE HELD AFTER THE SIGNING OF THE MEMORANDUM OF UNDERSTANDING BETWEEN IRAN AN…
- Mon, 15 Jun 2026 15:29:45 GMT- IRAN'S FOREIGN MINISTER: PROBABLY THERE WILL BE A MEETING BETWEEN THE HEADS OF NEGOTIATING TEAMS ON FRIDAY IN SWITZERLAND
- Mon, 15 Jun 2026 15:06:46 GMTIRAN COULD ACCESS $300B FUND WITH CONDITIONS Vice President JD Vance said Iran could gain access to a $300 billion Gulf-funded reconstructi…
- Mon, 15 Jun 2026 14:59:43 GMTUKMTO SAYS A TANKER REPORTED BEING APPROACHED BY A SMALL SKIFF THAT OPENED FIRE ON THE VESSEL
- Mon, 15 Jun 2026 14:58:43 GMTUKMTO SAYS RECEIVED A REPORT OF AN INCIDENT 111 NAUTICAL MILES SOUTHEAST OF YEMEN'S ADEN