CPI SET TO DECIDE NEXT WEEK’S FED HIKE Markets currently price a 61% chance of a 25-bp Fed hike on September 16, versus 39% for a hold, acc…
CPI SET TO DECIDE NEXT WEEK’S FED HIKE
Markets currently price a 61% chance of a 25-bp Fed hike on September 16, versus 39% for a hold, according to Kalshi.
With consensus expecting 0.2% core and 0.4% headline CPI M/M, Friday’s inflation print could sharply swing those odds. The 10‑year Treasury yield near 4.95% adds to the stakes, putting the critical 5% level within reach.
