šMARKETS OVERPRICING FED HIKES Kalshi prices a 39% chance of a Fed hike before 2027, while markets still lean toward hikes over cuts thisā¦
šMARKETS OVERPRICING FED HIKES
Kalshi prices a 39% chance of a Fed hike before 2027, while markets still lean toward hikes over cuts this year despite easing Treasury yields.
Citigroup says this is likely mispriced, expecting rate-cut odds to rise as inflation and labor pressures ease, pointing to eventual easing rather than further tightening.
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