📊FED HOLD ODDS JUMP AFTER JOBS DATA AND WALLER COMMENTS Odds of a September Fed hike are falling, with Kalshi now pricing a 56% chance of…
📊FED HOLD ODDS JUMP AFTER JOBS DATA AND WALLER COMMENTS
Odds of a September Fed hike are falling, with Kalshi now pricing a 56% chance of a hold versus 41% for a 25bp hike.
The move follows jobless claims rising to 206,000, slightly above forecasts.
Meanwhile, Fed Governor Christopher Waller signaled support for holding rates steady if August inflation confirms further disinflation.
A hotter inflation print could still revive expectations for a hike.
