Walter BloombergGeopolitics

U.S. STRIKE THREAT RAISES HORMUZ RISKS Kalshi prediction markets suggest traders expect disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz to persist well…

U.S. STRIKE THREAT RAISES HORMUZ RISKS Kalshi prediction markets suggest traders expect disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz to persist well into 2027, with only a 31% chance of shipping returning to normal before December 2026. President Donald Trump said the U.S. will target the Pickaxe Mountain area near Iran’s Natanz nuclear facility “pretty soon.” The deeply fortified site is linked to Iran’s nuclear program, raising the prospect of another escalation with potential implications for global energy markets.
U.S. STRIKE THREAT RAISES HORMUZ RISKS Kalshi prediction markets suggest trader…
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