U.S.–IRAN PEACE HOPES COLLAPSE Market expectations for a U.S.-Iran deal by end-June have plunged from over 75% to just 27%. Chance of Strai…
U.S.–IRAN PEACE HOPES COLLAPSE
Market expectations for a U.S.-Iran deal by end-June have plunged from over 75% to just 27%. Chance of Strait of Hormuz reopening is now only 22%.
Kalshi traders give just 52% probability of normal shipping traffic before October 2026.
Stalled nuclear talks and renewed clashes are hitting sentiment hard.
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